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The Passenger Rail Boom: A Long-Overdue Shift in American Transportation

jar546

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The Passenger Rail Boom: A Long-Overdue Shift in American Transportation

Passenger rail service in the United States is experiencing a revival, and quite frankly, it’s about time. For decades, America has lagged behind much of the developed world in building efficient, reliable, and accessible rail infrastructure. While countries like Japan, France, and China have set the standard with high-speed rail and expansive networks, we’ve been stuck in traffic—both literally and figuratively. That, however, is starting to change.

Amtrak, America’s largest passenger rail operator, is leading this resurgence. Fiscal year 2024 marked a historic milestone as Amtrak carried 32.8 million passengers—a record high, surpassing pre-pandemic ridership levels. This 15% increase in riders is more than a statistic; it’s a sign that people are ready to embrace rail travel as a viable alternative to driving and flying. Yet, while the demand is there, Amtrak still faces challenges. Despite its success, it posted an adjusted operating loss of $705 million, highlighting the financial hurdles that still exist. Amtrak is planning to invest billions into new routes, modernized equipment, and infrastructure improvements, with an ambitious goal to double ridership to 66 million passengers by 2040. Whether that goal is achievable remains to be seen, but the direction is clear: Americans are looking for better transportation options, and rail is finally getting its moment.

The resurgence of rail is not just limited to Amtrak. Private rail operators like Brightline are redefining how Americans view passenger trains, especially in regions underserved by traditional rail services. Brightline, based in Florida, has recently completed its Miami-to-Orlando route, connecting two major hubs with high-speed rail. The new service, launched in September 2023, covers 235 miles with multiple stops along the way, including West Palm Beach, Boca Raton, Fort Lauderdale, and Aventura. Brightline’s sleek trains offer a fast, comfortable alternative to Florida’s notoriously congested highways, with plans to extend service from Orlando to Tampa already in the works. This expansion isn’t just about convenience; it’s about changing the way Floridians think about travel.

Brightline isn’t stopping there. On the other side of the country, the company is spearheading the Brightline West project, a high-speed rail line that will connect Los Angeles and Las Vegas. This route, planned to begin service by 2028, will feature fully electric, zero-emission trains traveling at speeds up to 200 mph. Imagine skipping the dreaded I-15 traffic and arriving in Las Vegas in just over two hours. It’s a vision of modern rail travel that could transform regional mobility in the western United States.

Of course, rail development isn’t limited to high-profile routes. Amtrak and other operators are investing heavily in the Northeast Corridor, which accounts for 40% of Amtrak’s ridership. With $16.4 billion in federal funding, Amtrak is undertaking 25 projects to address aging infrastructure and improve service reliability in this critical region. Elsewhere, regional lines like the Amtrak Downeaster, serving New England, are also setting records, with the Downeaster reporting a record ridership of 598,426 passengers in 2024. These successes highlight the growing appetite for rail travel across diverse regions of the country.

But why now? Why, after decades of underinvestment and neglect, is passenger rail finally booming? The answer lies in a confluence of factors. Rising traffic congestion, the environmental impact of car and air travel, and shifting public attitudes toward sustainable transportation have all played a role. Add to that the increasing frustration with crowded airports and unreliable flights, and rail travel suddenly looks like the smarter, more civilized option.

However, we can’t ignore the challenges. Building and maintaining rail infrastructure in the U.S. is expensive, and political will can be fleeting. Passenger rail has long struggled to compete for funding in a country where the car is king, and airlines dominate long-distance travel. For this rail boom to be more than a passing trend, policymakers will need to commit to long-term investment and modernization. That means more than just shiny new trains; it means addressing the aging tracks, bridges, and tunnels that are the backbone of the rail network.

As a Building Official, I often think about infrastructure and how it reflects the priorities of a community. Transportation is as critical as any other piece of public infrastructure, yet in America, it has been treated as an afterthought for far too long. What we’re seeing now is an overdue correction—a recognition that efficient, reliable rail service isn’t just a convenience; it’s a necessity. The question is whether we’ll have the vision to keep this momentum going or if we’ll let it stall yet again.

For those of us in Florida, watching Brightline succeed is a reminder of what’s possible when private and public sectors align to meet a clear demand. For those in the Northeast, the investments in Amtrak are a promise of better service to come. And for the rest of the country, this rail boom is a call to action: It’s time to rethink how we move people efficiently, sustainably, and affordably.

America is finally getting back on track—literally. Let’s hope this is just the beginning.
 
I've been a railfan all my life, and have enjoyed highspeed trains in Europe and Japan. My grandfather was part of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers sent over to Tsarist Russia to help them finish the Siberian railroad (before the revolution). So I want HSR to succeed... but... we are really showing how not to do it in California.
Out here in California our high-speed rail system from San Diego to San Francisco now has a $128 billion price tag.
If you took that $128 billion as an endowment, and use only 5% interest income, that's $6.4 billion per year available for transportation.
They expect to have an annual ridership as high as 28.4 million. for $6.4 billion, you could by 28.4 million airline tickets at $225 apiece.
In other words, for the money we are spending we could just as easily fly all future expected traffic for free, in perpetuity.
 
My son took the train to Cal-State Fullerton for two years. There were so few people riding that I wondered when they would shut it down.
 
I'm a lifelong rail fan as well but tough to make it work in US. Population density is more than triple in Europe vs US, and cost of building rail around triple in US vs Europe. On over 150 projects over 30 years while in Chicago, only one made any sense to rail rather than fly or drive, and it still cost more and took longer. The question is how much is it worth to the public now to avoid the future potential costs of man made climate change, for those who believe it?
 
Always wanted to take a cross country train ride from PA to LA or SF.

This past October I was looking at traveling to the ICC CAH2 hearings by rail, instead of flying.

From Harrisburg to LAX round trip in coach was 3 days and about $385.00, then for about $1,500 I could get a private room with a shower.

I was real close to doing it, but I didn't feel like sitting in the Chicago Terminal for 11 hour's between changing trains.

Back in the late 80's through the winter of 1994 I used to commute 3 days a week on the Gladstone line in NJ to NYC. The express was fine with limited stops, but the local took 3 times as long.

The USA is to large with way to many remote areas that train travel will never serve the population like in other countries.

Sure it will work well in certain parts of the country, but on a whole IMO never really become cost effective way to get someplace in a timely manner.

A good example of this is you can take the air-train to and from Newark airport to Penn Station in NYC, and everyone that I know that lives in the city still takes an UBER. Their reason is they still need to get to Penn Station and by that time the UBER can have them at the airport.

https://www.airport-ewr.com/airtrain-newark.php
 
So you are saying we need more people....Got it....lol
And higher taxes and higher gas prices. That will get more people in trains.

US population density about 1/10 of Japan and 1/9 of UK.

Maybe require everyone to move east of Mississippi or perhaps East of Appalachian Mountains, or everyone West of Rockies - then trains might work.

I'm sorry there aren't better train options in US.
 
You take the population of a larger city and the population of another nearby larger city and multiply them. Then you divide that number by the distance in miles between the two. The higher the number, the more common sense it makes for a train route. Here is an example of two.

  1. Raleigh, NC and Richmond, VA are approximately 138 miles apart. Raleigh has a population of 482,000 and Richmond is 230,000. The score for this service is 803,333,333.
  2. Austin, TX and San Antonio, TX are 80 miles apart. Austin has a population of 974,000. and San Antonio is 1,451.800. The score for this potential rail service is 17,684,422,504. which is significantly higher than the Raleigh to Richmond score, therefore is makes more sense to prioritize a rail service between Austin and San Antonio.
What is interesting is that there is plans for a rail service between Raleigh and Richmond. There are obviously a lot more factors that come into play, but this is one way to prioritize money and need. There is already a train that connects Austin and San Antonio.

Brightline here in Florida has done extremely well after a slow start and the expansion from Miami to Orlanda is proving fruitfull and there is a definite need. Passenger rail is something that is needed in many regions that will hopefully be connected one day.
 
Here is a relatively new service by the numbers as per Brightline's report which I had summarized.

Summary of Findings from the Brightline Florida October 2024 Revenue and Ridership Report:​

  1. Ridership and Revenue Performance:
    • Total ridership for October 2024 was 217,735 passengers, a 6% increase from October 2023, despite disruptions caused by two hurricanes.
    • Ticket revenue totaled $12.2 million, a 18% increase from October 2023.
    • Ancillary revenue (e.g., food, beverage, parking) contributed $2.8 million, a 19% increase compared to October 2023.
    • Total revenue year-to-date increased by 168%, reaching $152.8 million.
  2. Long-Distance Service:
    • Long-distance ridership rose by 68% year-over-year in October, with 134,221 rides compared to 79,686 in October 2023.
    • Long-distance revenue year-to-date grew by an astonishing 992%.
  3. Short-Distance Service:
    • Short-distance ridership declined by 34% year-over-year, partly due to capacity constraints and a shift in focus towards the more profitable long-distance market.
    • Short-distance revenue fell by 25% in October 2024 compared to the previous year.
  4. Impact of Hurricanes:
    • Two hurricanes reduced October ridership and revenue by an estimated 10%, with a 2.5-day disruption of long-distance service.
  5. Operational Enhancements:
    • Implementation of the “Order to Seat” app increased food and beverage revenue per passenger by 34% and improved customer satisfaction.
    • Additional passenger cars began service, with plans to introduce more cars to increase seat capacity, aiming for seven-car long trains by mid-2025.
  6. Marketing and Partnerships:
    • Strategic partnerships with cruise lines, theme parks, airlines, and sports teams are expanding Brightline’s visibility and market share.
    • Notable initiatives include a Taylor Swift-themed train for the Eras Tour and promotional co-marketing with Universal Orlando.
    • Digital advertising and SEO enhancements aim to drive additional traffic and bookings.
  7. Future Goals:
    • Brightline aims to reach a stabilized monthly ridership of 650,000 passengers by 2026.
    • A loyalty program will be launched in 2025 to incentivize repeat ridership, estimated to generate an additional 15,000 rides per month.
  8. Expansion:
    • New stations are planned, including a Brightline station in Stuart, FL, with $15 million in funding from Martin County.
    • Development of a project to extend rail service from Orlando to Tampa is underway.
The report highlights robust growth in long-distance ridership and revenue, innovative customer service enhancements, and a strategic focus on high-revenue markets, while acknowledging the challenges posed by capacity constraints and weather disruptions.
 
Back in the late 70s early 80s when Los Angeles was considering a new subway system (the old one had been abandoned years ago), a study was commissioned to determine the initial route most likely to succeed. By this point,, Angelenos were a car-loving culture, and did not have the egalitarian experience of subway riding like New York. Buses were considered slow, noisy and increasingly sketchy in terms of security.

The study concluded that the best route in terms of both quantity of ridership and re-introduction of a mass-transit culture to middle and upper class was a subway line between downtown LA and Westwood (UCLA). The westside only had one freeway, the 405, and traffic was always bad. The rich execs who lived in Brentwood, Beverly Hills and other rich zip codes could get to their downtown corporate offices faster, and the service class (maids, nannies, gardeners) who lived on the employees could go the opposite direction to work at those those expensive homes, and UCLA would benefit as well.

The problem was that the study also showed the economic benefits that would accrue along the transit stops on a successful study. It was politically untenable to some Metro board members that a taxpayer-funded subway project would give so much of that benefit to the richest zip codes in LA.

Result? The first segment went from downtown to North Hollywood, which at the time had no significant ridership value. The route even bypassed the Hollywood Bowl. After initial fanfare, ridership dropped dramatically.

Likewise, the Green Line was stopped short of LAX under pressure from taxi and bus driver unions that it would cut into their ridership share. The current HSR route likewise takes a dramatic detour eastward to pick up the communities of Lancaster and Palmdale, adding significant time to the route.

In contrast, the Brightline routes are more likely to succeed because they are capturing a middle- to upper-middle class leisure ridership, connecting them directly to where they would be going anyway (Florida theme parks, Las Vegas) and introducing them to the benefits of efficient public transportation.
 
I looked at population density of the counties served by Brightline Florida: 7 counties Miami Dade up to Orange. Over 1050 people per square kilometer. Japan is "only" 339 and US is 38.

Population density.
 
Several years ago my daughter was married to a Marine stationed at Camp Pendleton. I used to fly to San Diego then ride the Coaster train from San Diego to Oceanside when I went to visit them.

There are probably a lot more politicians pushing Richmond to Raleigh than there are pushing Austin to San Antonio.
 
Several years ago my daughter was married to a Marine stationed at Camp Pendleton. I used to fly to San Diego then ride the Coaster train from San Diego to Oceanside when I went to visit them.

There are probably a lot more politicians pushing Richmond to Raleigh than there are pushing Austin to San Antonio.
When I was stationed in Camp Pendleton, I used to take the train from Oceanside to go see a girl in Santa Ana. Is that train still running? I think I had to get off in Costa Mesa and walk to Santa Ana though.
 
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