ICE
MODERATOR
24747 cases that resulted in 1809 deaths. 1809 is 7.3% of 24747.
Is anyone else here required to do FEMA Nims training?
Was on the PA turnpike near Philly this morning. Hardly any traffic. Lot's of things shut down, malls, schools, sports, theaters. Still inspecting but any meetings are to be on line.
Based upon TMurray's numbers....
1809 / (1809 + 2335) = 0.4365 = 44%
As per my post, this is not an accurate determination. The math is right, but the methodology is horribly wrong.
To be fair to everyone, we will likely never know the actual mortality rate. To Ty. J's point, the actual number of those suffering are likely under reported due to lack of testing. We will likely never know how many are/were truly infected, but this is all simply a theory as there is no data one way or the other. Here, everyone displaying symptoms are being tested. Those without life threatening complications are being sent home for self-isolation. I would image most countries that provide healthcare would be similar. Now, Italy's system is completely overwhelmed, so I doubt they are even bothering with testing anymore.Until those infected are either alive or dead after the virus takes its course, the current, overall numbers are not as relevant. If there are 24,000 people currently with the virus which has not resolved, then we have to wait until they are either dead or a survivor to determine the actual mortality rate.
24747 cases that resulted in 1809 deaths. 1809 is 7.3% of 24747.
ICE, Jar beat me to the explanation.Until those infected are either alive or dead after the virus takes its course, the current, overall numbers are not as relevant. If there are 24,000 people currently with the virus which has not resolved, then we have to wait until they are either dead or a survivor to determine the actual mortality rate.
Without testing Everyone there can never be a accurate mortality rate. We will never Know how many are infected. There are many, many out there that are infected and they do not know. Some will run it's course without any symptoms. Mary Mallon, also known as Typhoid Mary. She did not know she was a carrier.ICE, Jar beat me to the explanation.
Can't calculate mortality rate if 1) number of known infected is inaccurate, and 2) if virus has not run its complete course, i.e. those sick have not recovered or perished, then they can not be used to calculate mortality rate.
Every country the numbers are different some like the US are on the rise and some are stagnant
World wide there is currently a 43% recovery rate, a 1% death rate and the remaining 56% infected and unknown what the outcome will be for them. Is this serious? Yes. Are we going overboard? Maybe, Maybe not if it keeps it from becoming a pandemic
Below is a link to a world wide map prepared and updated buy John Hopkins. Interesting to look at and see the actual numbers
https://www.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
When you click on the link you need to refresh the site after it opens.Great find. Thank you.
Been to friggen busy to stop in. We have closed all city buildings down for access by the public, or non-essential employees.
I am the only body physically present in the office.
Permit Tech, Plan Reviewers working from home (all electronic submittals and reviews), Inspectors (again electronically) divvy up inspections and do them, go home. No inspections performed on interiors of occupied structures, only exterior inspections, or unoccupied spaces, with access from the exterior.
Any non-working hours are back-filled with paid administrative leave.
For now..........
We'll see where this thing goes.........
What are you using for additional PPE?